In modern urban centers, effective transportation management poses a significant challenge, with traffic jams and inconsistent travel durations greatly affecting commuters and logistics operations. This study introduces a novel method for enhancing urban mobility by combining machine learning algorithms with live traffic information. We developed predictive models for journey time and congestion analysis using data from New York City's yellow taxi trips. The research employed a spatiotemporal analysis framework to identify traffic trends and implemented real-time route optimization using the GraphHopper API. This system determines the most efficient paths based on current conditions, adapting to changes in traffic flow. The methodology utilizes Spark MLlib for predictive modeling and Spark Streaming for processing data in real-time. By integrating historical data analysis with current traffic inputs, our system shows notable enhancements in both travel time forecasts and route optimization, demonstrating its potential for widespread application in major urban areas. This research contributes to ongoing efforts aimed at reducing urban congestion and improving transportation efficiency through advanced data-driven methods.

Traditional mobility management strategies emphasize macro-level mobility oversight from traffic-sensing infrastructures, often overlooking safety risks that directly affect road users. To address this, we propose a Digital Twin-based Driver Risk-Aware Intelligent Mobility Analytics (DT-DIMA) system. The DT-DIMA system integrates real-time traffic information from pan-tilt-cameras (PTCs), synchronizes this data into a digital twin to accurately replicate the physical world, and predicts network-wide mobility and safety risks in real time. The system's innovation lies in its integration of spatial-temporal modeling, simulation, and online control modules. Tested and evaluated under normal traffic conditions and incidental situations (e.g., unexpected accidents, pre-planned work zones) in a simulated testbed in Brooklyn, New York, DT-DIMA demonstrated mean absolute percentage errors (MAPEs) ranging from 8.40% to 15.11% in estimating network-level traffic volume and MAPEs from 0.85% to 12.97% in network-level safety risk prediction. In addition, the highly accurate safety risk prediction enables PTCs to preemptively monitor road segments with high driving risks before incidents take place. Such proactive PTC surveillance creates around a 5-minute lead time in capturing traffic incidents. The DT-DIMA system enables transportation managers to understand mobility not only in terms of traffic patterns but also driver-experienced safety risks, allowing for proactive resource allocation in response to various traffic situations. To the authors' best knowledge, DT-DIMA is the first urban mobility management system that considers both mobility and safety risks based on digital twin architecture.

Data-driven estimations are becoming increasingly relevant and widespread as the volume and heterogeneity of available data increases. A fundamental challenge is to build numerical methods for which one can estimate how optimally they exploit the given information. The present paper addresses some essential computational aspects connected to this question. More specifically, our goal is to reconstruct a state u of a physical process, for which we have at hand very heterogeneous sources of data coming from direct partial observations of u, from quantities related to u, and from the knowledge that the physics can be modelled by a Partial Differential Equations (PDE).

Long-term traffic prediction has always been a challenging task due to its dynamic temporal dependencies and complex spatial dependencies. In this paper, we propose a model that combines hybrid Transformer and spatio-temporal self-supervised learning. The model enhances its robustness by applying adaptive data augmentation techniques at the sequence-level and graph-level of the traffic data. It utilizes Transformer to overcome the limitations of recurrent neural networks in capturing long-term sequences, and employs Chebyshev polynomial graph convolution to capture complex spatial dependencies. Furthermore, considering the impact of spatio-temporal heterogeneity on traffic speed, we design two self-supervised learning tasks to model the temporal and spatial heterogeneity, thereby improving the accuracy and generalization ability of the model. Experimental evaluations are conducted on two real-world datasets, PeMS04 and PeMS08, and the results are visualized and analyzed, demonstrating the superior performance of the proposed model.

Ke Wan, Zuo Zhang and Zhiquan Chen are with the Department of Automation, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, P.R.China. ABSTRACT Dynamic traffic assignment and vehicle route guidance have been important problems in ITS for some time. This paper proposes a new model for VRGS, which takes into consideration of the information propagation, user selection and information reaction. Parameter p is then defined as the updating weight for computing cost of traffic based on a distributive learning scheme. Comparison to static traffic assignment, DTA and feasible strategies are given, and future work is also stated.

Accurate traffic prediction in real time plays an important role in Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) and travel navigation guidance. There have been many attempts to predict short-term traffic status which consider the spatial and temporal dependencies of traffic information such as temporal graph convolutional network (T-GCN) model and convolutional long short-term memory (Conv-LSTM) model. However, most existing methods use simple adjacent matrix consisting of 0 and 1 to capture the spatial dependence which can not meticulously describe the urban road network topological structure and the law of dynamic change with time. In order to tackle the problem, this paper proposes a dynamic temporal self-attention graph convolutional network (DT-SGN) model which considers the adjacent matrix as a trainable attention score matrix and adapts network parameters to different inputs. Specially, self-attention graph convolutional network (SGN) is chosen to capture the spatial dependence and the dynamic gated recurrent unit (Dynamic-GRU) is chosen to capture temporal dependence and learn dynamic changes of input data. Experiments demonstrate the superiority of our method over state-of-art model-driven model and data-driven models on real-world traffic datasets.

The key to traffic prediction is to accurately depict the temporal dynamics of traffic flow traveling in a road network, so it is important to model the spatial dependence of the road network. The essence of spatial dependence is to accurately describe how traffic information transmission is affected by other nodes in the road network, and the GNN-based traffic prediction model, as a benchmark for traffic prediction, has become the most common method for the ability to model spatial dependence by transmitting traffic information with the message passing mechanism. However, existing methods model a local and static spatial dependence, which cannot transmit the global-dynamic traffic information (GDTi) required for long-term prediction. The challenge is the difficulty of detecting the precise transmission of GDTi due to the uncertainty of individual transport, especially for long-term transmission. In this paper, we propose a new hypothesis\: GDTi behaves macroscopically as a transmitting causal relationship (TCR) underlying traffic flow, which remains stable under dynamic changing traffic flow. We further propose spatial-temporal Granger causality (STGC) to express TCR, which models global and dynamic spatial dependence. To model global transmission, we model the causal order and causal lag of TCRs global transmission by a spatial-temporal alignment algorithm. To capture dynamic spatial dependence, we approximate the stable TCR underlying dynamic traffic flow by a Granger causality test. The experimental results on three backbone models show that using STGC to model the spatial dependence has better results than the original model for 45 min and 1 h long-term prediction.

In order to increase the prediction accuracy of the online vehicle velocity prediction (VVP) strategy, a self-adaptive velocity prediction algorithm fused with traffic information was presented for the multiple scenarios. Initially, traffic scenarios were established inside the co-simulation environment. In addition, the algorithm of a general regressive neural network (GRNN) paired with datasets of the ego-vehicle, the front vehicle, and traffic lights was used in traffic scenarios, which increasingly improved the prediction accuracy. To ameliorate the robustness of the algorithm, then the strategy was optimized by particle swarm optimization (PSO) and k-fold cross-validation to find the optimal parameters of the neural network in real-time, which constructed a self-adaptive online PSO-GRNN VVP strategy with multi-information fusion to adapt with different operating situations. The self-adaptive online PSO-GRNN VVP strategy was then deployed to a variety of simulated scenarios to test its efficacy under various operating situations. Finally, the simulation results reveal that in urban and highway scenarios, the prediction accuracy is separately increased by 27.8% and 54.5% when compared to the traditional GRNN VVP strategy with fixed parameters utilizing only the historical ego-vehicle velocity dataset.

In recent years, some traffic information prediction methods have been proposed to provide the precise information of travel time, vehicle speed, and traffic flow for highways. However, big errors may be obtained by these methods for urban roads or the alternative roads of highways. Therefore, this study proposes a travel time prediction method based on convolutional neural networks to extract important factors for the improvement of traffic information prediction. In practical experimental environments, the travel time records of No. 5 Highway and the alternative roads of its were collected and used to evaluate the proposed method. The results showed that the mean absolute percentage error of the proposed method was about 5.69%. Therefore, the proposed method based on deep learning techniques can improve the accuracy of travel time prediction.